Lightning is one of the main causes of voltage sags, and it is of great significance for subsequent analysis and governance to accurately evaluate the severity of the sag events caused by lightning. There are many uncertain factors between lightning fault events and voltage sag events. To evaluate the severity of voltage sag events caused by lightning, a data-driven self-learning evaluation method for voltage sag severity is proposed. According to a large number of online monitoring data of lightning positioning system and power quality monitoring system, the association rule mining algorithm based on incremental learning is used. And the rules are kept updating through the accumulation of historical data, which may give it the abilities of self-learning. The empirical analysis is carried out based on the monitoring data of a regional power grid. The results show that the method in this paper can accurately mine more valuable rules in reality and solve the problem of low efficiency of mining algorithm when the database changes dynamically.